Current:Home > MyThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -Elevate Profit Vision
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
Fastexy Exchange View
Date:2025-04-08 12:11:55
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (348)
Related
- California DMV apologizes for license plate that some say mocks Oct. 7 attack on Israel
- After State Rejects Gas Pipeline Permit, Utility Pushes Back. One Result: New Buildings Go Electric.
- 18 Slitty Dresses Under $60 That Are Worth Shaving Your Legs For
- How this Brazilian doc got nearly every person in her city to take a COVID vaccine
- Scoot flight from Singapore to Wuhan turns back after 'technical issue' detected
- Ron DeSantis defends transport of migrants to Sacramento, says he doesn't have sympathy for sanctuary states
- Don't Be Tardy Looking Back at Kim Zolciak and Kroy Biermann's Romance Before Breakup
- Today’s Climate: July 5, 2010
- How to watch the 'Blue Bloods' Season 14 finale: Final episode premiere date, cast
- Benefits of Investing in Climate Adaptation Far Outweigh Costs, Commission Says
Ranking
- A South Texas lawmaker’s 15
- What to do during an air quality alert: Expert advice on how to protect yourself from wildfire smoke
- Contaminated cough syrup from India linked to 70 child deaths. It's happened before
- State legislative races are on the front lines of democracy this midterm cycle
- Working Well: When holidays present rude customers, taking breaks and the high road preserve peace
- Prince Louis Makes First Official Royal Engagement After Absence From Coronation Concert
- 18 Slitty Dresses Under $60 That Are Worth Shaving Your Legs For
- Why Black Americans are more likely to be saddled with medical debt
Recommendation
Pregnant Kylie Kelce Shares Hilarious Question Her Daughter Asked Jason Kelce Amid Rising Fame
236 Mayors Urge EPA Not to Repeal U.S. Clean Power Plan
Today’s Climate: Aug. 2, 2010
How Harris is listening — and speaking — about abortion rights before the midterms
Meta releases AI model to enhance Metaverse experience
Why childbirth is so dangerous for many young teens
The FDA has officially declared a shortage of Adderall
Kirsten Gillibrand on Climate Change: Where the Candidate Stands